15 July 2020

You Can't Trust The Numbers or the Government That Relies on Them

24 Tammuz 5780

The numbers being quoted in the media are completely useless for determining the true scope of the pandemic in Israel.  And yet the politicians are threatening the citizens with all kinds of punitive measures based on the situation as perceived through these skewed statistics.  We've already seen people harassed on the streets by the police; whole neighborhoods locked down; people forced to leave home and go to "coronavirus hotels."  Limits on activities have already been renewed with promises of High Holy Days being a repeat of Pesach and threats of synagogue and yeshivah closures once again.

The inmates who have taken charge of the asylum tout "record" numbers of infected and "record" numbers of serious cases, but it is impossible to get a true accounting of the real numbers as the reports are contradictory depending on where you look for them.  (For example today's count of new cases was either 1200+ or 1500+ depending on where you were looking.)

Recently, I quoted Dr. Yoav Yehezkelli who said: "What matters is not the total number of patients, but the number of severe illnesses and intubated patients. As long as these figures are under control, the situation is good."

The constantly increasing number of overall cases is clearly the result of increased testing [Health Ministry said set to reduce testing as system overwhelmed by outbreak - Asymptomatic people won’t be checked; Israeli HMOs warn they'll start 'throwing away' virus tests due to overload]  but now the reported number of "severe" illnesses has more than doubled since then.  And that is explained here:
Israel’s recent rise in serious COVID-19 cases partly due to change in criteria Doctors at Israel’s largest hospital amended their approach to categorizing virus patients, impacting national stats; goal is to standardize criteria, they say, not inflate figures.
However, that's exactly what happened.  Despite the seeming worsening of the pandemic in Israel in a so-called "second wave," the mortality rate remains relatively low.  But even those numbers can't be taken at face value as the Israeli media is reporting 375 deaths as a result of COVID-19 as of today's date, while the WHO makes it 364.  

Whom do we believe?  There is no way to know how the dead are being counted as many countries have admitted to decisions and practices which skews those numbers as well.  Either way, the figure remains relatively low.  Even taking the higher figure of 375, that averages out to 2.5 persons per day (since Feb 21 when counts began).  

By comparison, in 2016, the most recent date I can find for statistics, there were a total of 35,717 deaths from all causes in the over-65 age group (those determined to be most at risk from COVID-19).That's an average of 97.8 persons per day.



The reason our perception of this pandemic is so out of touch with reality is because at no other time have the media and the government ever reported on daily deaths from any other cause.  I also have to wonder why the number of ventilated patients is still rising when ventilator-assisted breathing has been determined by many credible medical sources to be a cause of higher mortality.  (See Are Ventilators Making Some COVID-19 Patients Worse? and Why Ventilators May Not Be Working as Well for COVID-19 Patients as Doctors Hoped.)

This was shared today on Facebook.  It is genius.








Many people these days express the sentiment that it feels like we are living inside a movie.  Someone took it a step further and turned the events of 2020 into a "movie" trailer.  Someone else commented: "I heard they changed the title to: '2020: Everything 2012 wanted to be.'"



18 comments:

  1. There's two main basic reasons for all this propaganda: 1)Control, control...and 2) break down the economy. This is all part of the agenda!
    The media is part of the ruling bodies = it's all one. No different than Goebbel's propaganda, so how does anyone believe anything they say, write... The numbers are made up to confuse and put fear into the hearts of man, so they will obey everything that is told to them and have no choice but to do. In the U.S., anyone who passed away in the hospital, no matter what their ailment or accident, etc. was, had to be listed that they passed on from Covid19. The doctors (many) were appalled and upset but had no choice because it was mandated by the governors, all to put fear into the citizenry. Whatever they're doing in the US, they are doing the same (but even harsher) in Israel.

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  2. We have not even reached Av yet! What will happen in the next 6 months? We are truly in the Matrix. ... The only thing we have now is Hashem. No one else, All the False Gods of Science, Medicine and Technology have failed us, the Politics and Politicians have failed us. The Economy and the Fed have failed us. We only have Hashem. Call out to Hashem.

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  3. This is all to bring people to line up for vaccinations. It's already being introduced into media to let it set in minds, then it will become a *plan* and soon it will be implemented. Whoever refuses, well, we've also been indoctrinated into seeing what happens with non-compliance. Use your imagination on what the plan will be for those who refuse.

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  4. When enough of the masses wake up I hate to see what happens next.
    They’re in with and part of the Medical Mafia!

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  5. What happens when they find out everyone who tested positive turns out to be a healthy person who got over the virus without complications?
    This is beside the fact that the testing protocol is being manipulated to find coronavirus (=common cold) and will nearly every time used. Everyone who had the common cold will test positive for coronavirus, because it is the same family.

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  6. According to a report in Kan News, senior officials in the Health Ministry are weighing the option of imposing a partial lockdown of the country that would apply from evening until morning, and on weekends. If a lockdown is decided upon, it will likely apply to the hours between 9 p.m. and 6 a.m.

    Because so many more people are out and about and congregating at night between 9pm and 6am and viruses are more infectious during nighttime hours. :-P

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  7. Florida hospital admits its COVID positivity rate is 10x lower than first reported

    ...In recent days, numerous facilities have begun reporting 100% positivity rates, figures significantly higher than the statewide average of around 15%. Many of those labs claim to have tested only one patient, though others with 100% rates report testing dozens and sometimes hundreds of patients.

    Orlando news station Fox 35 said on Monday that it undertook an investigation of those "astronomical figures," after which several medical facilities confirmed that their actual positive rates were much lower than those reported to the state government.

    The news station reported that area hospital Orlando Health "confirmed errors in the report," with hospital officials stating their their "positivity rate is only 9.4 percent, not 98 percent."

    Another Orlando-area lab, Veteran’s Medical Center, listed "a positivity rate of 76 percent," but a company official said that "the positivity rate for the center is actually 6 percent."

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  8. I think it's time we took a stand against this tyranny. Speak up - you're not sheep.

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  9. It's frustrating, because this information is out there. Most people have heard about people dying from something which was only exacerbated by Corona, and differential payouts to hospitals in the U. S.

    And worse yet, of course, there are more positive tests! There is more testing going on. I'm sure many are walking around with it, without even knowing they have.

    And don't get me started on the false positives.

    Did you all hear this story of the woman who was tested at home, the swabs were forgotten, but she showed up positive on the computer anyway?

    Israel's Corona Control Crackdown

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  10. I had not heard about that. But I did hear about this:

    Tanzania coronavirus kits raise suspicion after goat and pawpaw test positive

    Covid-19 test kits in Tanzania have raised suspicion after samples taken from a goat and a pawpaw fruit came back with positive results, as the president said there were “technical errors”.

    President John Magufuli said during an event in the north west of Tanzania that the test kits were imported from overseas, but did not say where.

    He said that in order to evaluate the quality of the kits, Tanzanian security forces randomly obtained non-human samples, including from a pawpaw, a goat and a sheep. The random samples were assigned human names and ages, and sent to a laboratory to test for coronavirus.

    Lab technicians were deliberately not informed about the origins of the samples. The pawpaw and goat samples tested positive for Covid-19, said Mr Magufuli.

    The president said the faulty kits meant some people were testing positive for coronavirus without actually being infected, reported Reuters.


    I also read about an elderly couple who allegedly died of COVID-19 in Jerusalem within days of each other. She was admitted to the hospital with pneumonia and he was visiting daily at her bedside. She contracted it from her nurse in the hospital and he caught it from his wife.

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  11. Dr. Andrew Kaufman interview on the subject - you might want to embed - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VPMcP44-Z0k

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  12. Thanks! This is the first coverage I've seen of the psychological factors involved with wearing a mask.

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  13. I just heard a first account story of a man in Yerushalayim who received a text that he was in close proximity to a carrier and needs to get tested. He went to the test center, submitted his name but the line was too long so he left without getting tested. Within 24 hours he received a text message saying HE WAS POSITIVE! Is it fathomable that all the govt of the world are in on this together?

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  14. Anon @ 11:35pm: You can bet they are all in on it together!

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