Deputy health minister: Second wave worse, more dangerous than firstWith the ongoing threat of renewed total "lockdown" and increasing ferocity of the authorities in enforcing unreasonable adherence to questionable health orders, it is important to continue to monitor the real trends in this pandemic and to evaluate for ourselves with our own seichel whether the current environment of fear and totalitarianism is justified. Here is the statistical overview as presented by the World Health Organization:
..."We are in a second wave that is worse and more dangerous than the first one," Kish said at a Knesset Coronavirus Committee session. "We are in a long war of attrition. A sharp rise in the rate of confirmed patients was recorded from 1% mid May to 5% of all tests today."
According to Kish, "the number of confirmed carriers doubled in ten days. There is a large number of new critical patients." The deputy-minister said the outbreak is "spreading across the country."
The rate will "rise to hundreds of new infections," Kish added.
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Looking only at the graph of the numbers of confirmed cases, one would have to agree that a clear "second wave" is in progress; but as we already know, those numbers are easy to manipulate as we have no way of knowing the rate of increase in testing as compared to the first time around as well as how many are asymptomatic. While the number of serious cases has doubled over the past week - from 40s to 80s, the number of those on ventilators is still in the 20s range [and that number is included among the seriously ill count]. If these 86 "serious" cases are the only ones hospitalized, that averages to two coronavirus patients per hospital in Israel, so don't believe any dire warnings of overwhelming the health care system!
Israel hits new high for active coronavirus cases, with 11,189 currently sickThe numbers of dead are a more reliable indicator in this case and as can be seen, these numbers do not at all indicate a "second wave more dangerous than the first." With nearly the same rate of reported daily infection back in March, there were 19 dead in one day at the worst of it. With a similar reported infection rate for July, four have died from Friday to Sunday.
...The Health Ministry reported that 804 new COVID-19 cases were recorded on Saturday, bringing the total number of active patients to 11,189, the highest since the start of the epidemic in Israel.
The Health Ministry said another nine patients were hospitalized in a serious condition, bringing the total number of serious cases to 86, with 29 of them in need of ventilator support.
According to health officials, since midnight Sunday, 130 people tested positive for coronavirus.
...The Coronavirus National Information and Knowledge Center ... put the number of tests conducted on Saturday at slightly above 15,000,....
The second WHO graph above is the true indicator of whether there is currently a second wave. Do you see it? I certainly do not.
It is the nature of novel viruses to be more deadly at their initial onset and then to mutate as time goes on to be less lethal. This is because it is not advantageous for the virus to kill its host. The goal is to be as infectious as possible for as long as possible so as to replicate and spread far and wide. That is the job the Creator gave it in this world. Even when mankind attempts to weaponize a virus in the lab by editing its genetic makeup to make a more lethal killing machine, the Creator is still ultimately in control of it.
THERE IS NO PLACE FOR FEAR IN THE HEART OF THE JEW WITH FAITH IN HKB"H!
The best advice is still to eat and drink nutritionally so as to boost your own natural immune system. Stay away from obviously ill people, just as you would to avoid any other disease, and pray to be spared the illness and its consequences. This is your hishtadlut - not a mask! and not closing synagogues! and not stopping weddings! No one can hide from a virus. Hashem alone decides who will live and who will die as He has since the beginning of time.